Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.188288 0.265588 0.352917 0.456673 0.574645 0.702964 0.851556
2025-11-09 0.070282 0.155137 0.269976 0.423723 0.614394 0.835598 1.105097
2025-11-16 0.021112 0.091186 0.208680 0.383852 0.615933 0.897196 1.250875
2025-11-23 0.003820 0.057730 0.176105 0.371177 0.643734 0.984871 1.423390
2025-11-30 0.000059 0.040980 0.162508 0.379743 0.695111 1.098508 1.624518
2025-12-07 NaN 0.025446 0.143376 0.375356 0.725966 1.184268 1.790168
2025-12-14 NaN 0.012242 0.119376 0.357900 0.735210 1.239964 1.916857
2025-12-21 NaN 0.009930 0.123168 0.387116 0.811065 1.382453 2.152148
2025-12-28 NaN 0.008159 0.127491 0.416938 0.887743 1.526127 2.389177
2026-01-04 NaN 0.005286 0.124718 0.432887 0.943513 1.641935 2.591012
2026-01-11 NaN 0.005239 0.134916 0.473486 1.036388 1.807519 2.856362
2026-01-18 NaN 0.004444 0.140545 0.505219 1.115962 1.955443 3.099493
2026-01-25 NaN 0.001920 0.132563 0.511618 1.160041 2.059878 3.292990
2026-02-01 NaN NaN 0.105200 0.475133 1.136877 2.073145 3.370346
2026-02-08 NaN NaN 0.078701 0.433078 1.100935 2.066148 3.419229
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.066218 0.419468 1.108646 2.118087 3.543403
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.063097 0.428628 1.153589 2.222001 3.735533
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.055429 0.423943 1.174684 2.291974 3.882920
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.044052 0.405317 1.170715 2.325609 3.981866
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.048779 0.436481 1.253212 2.483140 4.245222
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.053699 0.468222 1.336773 2.642305 4.510908
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.053930 0.485171 1.394624 2.764707 4.727969
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.062439 0.528239 1.498062 2.952596 5.032088